Democrats in Pennsylvania had a horrible 2024 election. They say it’s still a swing state

FILE – Pennsylvania Senate candidate Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., takes part in a debate at the WPVI-TV studio, Oct. 15, 2024, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke, File)

By MARC LEVY Associated Press
HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — The drubbing Democrats took in Pennsylvania in this year’s election has prompted predictable vows to rebound, but it has also sowed doubts about whether Pennsylvania might be leaving the ranks of up-for-grabs swing states for a right-leaning existence more like Ohio’s.
The introspection over voters’ rejection of Democrats comes amid growing speculation about Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro as a contender for the party’s 2028 presidential nomination.
Widely expected to seek reelection in the 2026 mid-terms, Shapiro was considered a rising star in the party even before he garnered heavy national attention for making Vice President Kamala Harris’ shortlist of candidates for running mates.
Some Pennsylvania Democrats say 2024’s losses are, at least in part, attributable to voters motivated specifically by President-elect Donald Trump. Many of those voters won’t show up if Trump isn’t on the ballot, the theory goes, leaving Pennsylvania’s status as the ultimate swing state intact.
“I don’t think it’s an indicator for Pennsylvania,” said Jamie Perrapato, executive director of Turn PA Blue, which helps organize and train campaign volunteers. “I’ll believe it when these people come out and vote in any elections but for the presidency.”
Pennsylvania’s status as the nation’s premier battleground state in 2024 was unmistakable: political campaigns dropped more money on campaign ads than in any other state, according to data from ad-tracking firm AdImpact.
Plenty of that money was spent by Democrats, but their defeat was across the board. Democrats in Pennsylvania lost its 19 presidential electoral votes, a U.S. Senate seat, three other statewide races, two congressional seats and what was once a reassuring advantage in voter registration.
Some of those losses were particularly notable: Democrats hadn’t lost Pennsylvania’s electoral votes and a Senate incumbent in the same year since 1880. The defeat of three-term Sen. Bob Casey is especially a gut-punch for Democrats: the son of a former governor has served in statewide office since 1997.
An echo of what happened everywhere
The same debate that Democrats are having nationally over Harris’ decisive loss is playing out in Pennsylvania, with no agreement on what caused them to be so wrong.
Some blamed President Joe Biden, a Pennsylvania native, for backtracking on his promise not to run for reelection. Some blamed the party’s left wing and some blamed Harris, saying she tried to woo Republican voters instead of focusing on pocketbook issues that were motivating working-class voters.
In Pennsylvania, finger-pointing erupted in the Democratic stronghold of Philadelphia — where Trump significantly narrowed his 2020 deficit — between the city’s Democratic Party chair and a Harris campaign adviser.
The nation’s sixth-most populous city is historically a driver of Democratic victories statewide, but Harris’ margin there was the smallest of any Democratic presidential nominee since John Kerry’s in 2004, and turnout there was well below the statewide average.
Rural Democrats suggested the party left votes on the table in their regions, too. Some said Harris hurt herself by not responding forcefully enough in the nation’s No. 2 natural gas state against Trump’s assertions that she would ban fracking.
Ed Rendell, the former two-term governor of Pennsylvania and ex-Democratic National Committee chair, said Trump had the right message this year and that Harris didn’t have enough time on the campaign trail to counter it.
Still, Rendell said Pennsylvania remains very much a swing state.
“I wouldn’t go crazy over these election results,” Rendell said. “It’s still tight enough to say that in 2022 the Democrats swept everything and you would have thought that things looked pretty good for us, and this time we almost lost everything.”
That year, Shapiro won the governor’s office by nearly 15%, John Fetterman was the only candidate in the nation to flip a U.S. Senate seat despite suffering a stroke in the midst of his campaign, and Democrats captured control of the state House of Representatives for the first time in a dozen years.
Bethany Hallam, an Allegheny County council member who is part of a wave of progressive Democrats to win office around Pittsburgh in recent years, said the party can fix things before Pennsylvania becomes Ohio. But she cautioned against interpreting 2024 as a one-time blip, saying it would be a mistake to think Trump voters will never be heard from again.
“They’re going to be more empowered to keep voting more,” Hallam said. “They came out, finally exercised their votes and the person they picked won. … I don’t think this was a one-off thing.”
The ever-changing political landscape
Shapiro, assuming he seeks another term in 2026, would likely benefit from a mid-term backlash that has haunted the party in power — in this case, Republicans and Trump — in nearly every election since World War II.
The political landscape never stays the same, and voters two years from now will be reacting to a new set of factors: the state of the economy, the ups and downs of Trump’s presidency, events no one sees coming.
Rendell predicted that Trump’s public approval ratings will be badly damaged — below 40% — even before he takes office.
Democrats, meanwhile, fully expect Republicans to come after Shapiro in an effort to damage any loftier ambitions he may have.
They say they’ll be ready.
“He’s on the MAGA radar,” said Michelle McFall, the Westmoreland County Democratic Party chair. “He’s a wildly popular governor in what is still the most important battleground state … and we’re going to make sure we’re in fighting shape to hold that seat.”
In 2025, partisan control of the state Supreme Court will be up for grabs when three Democratic justices elected a decade ago must run to retain their seats in up-or-down elections without an opponent. Republicans have it marked on their calendars.
Democrats will go into those battles with their narrowest voter registration edge in at least a half-century. What was an advantage of 1.2 million voters in 2008, the year Barack Obama won the presidency, is now a gap of fewer than 300,000.
University of Pennsylvania researchers found that, since the 2020 presidential election, Republican gains weren’t because Republicans registered more new voters.
Rather, the GOP’s gains were from more Democrats switching their registration to Republican, a third party or independent, as well as more inactive Democratic voters being removed from registration rolls, the researchers reported.
Democrats have won more statewide elections in the past 25 years, but the parties are tied in that category in the five elections from 2020 through 2024.
Daniel Hopkins, a political science professor at the University of Pennsylvania, said it is hard to predict that Pennsylvania is trending in a particular direction, since politics are evolving and parties that lose tend to adapt.
Even when Democrats had larger registration advantages, Hopkins said, Republicans competed on a statewide playing field.
Hopkins said Democrats should be worried that they lost young voters and Hispanic voters to Trump, although the swing toward the GOP was relatively muted in Pennsylvania. Trump’s 1.8 percentage-point victory was hardly a landslide, he noted, and it signals that Pennsylvania will be competitive moving forward.
“I don’t think that the registration numbers are destiny,” Hopkins said. “That’s partly because even with Democrats losing their registration advantage, whichever party can win the unaffiliated voters by a healthy margin will carry the state.”
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Follow Marc Levy at twitter.com/timelywriter

No. 4 Nittany Lions hoping to clinch CFP spot in regular-season finale with Maryland

Penn State quarterback Drew Allar looks to pass the ball during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Saturday, Nov. 23, 2024, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

STATE COLLEGE, Pa. (AP) — Tyler Warren and the rest of Penn State’s senior class normally would be preparing to take in the sights and sounds in their last game at Beaver Stadium. This season’s Senior Day festivities won’t have that sense of finality. The No. 4 Nittany Lions (10-1, 7-1 Big Ten, No. 4 CFP) are readying for a postseason run that could feature a first-round playoff game in Happy Valley. That is if they take care of business against Maryland (4-7, 1-7 Big Ten) on Saturday. If Michigan beats No. 2 Ohio State in Columbus, Penn State would play No. 1 Oregon in the Big Ten title game by beating Maryland.

PennDOT, Safety Partners Team Up to Combat ‘Blackout Wednesday’ Impaired Driving

(File Photo)

Pittsburgh, PA – The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation (PennDOT), Allegheny County Safety Partners, Allegheny County Airport Authority, Allegheny Health Network Life Flight and STAT MedEvac partnered to highlight the importance of sober driving and wearing a seat belt ahead of the holiday season, especially the day before Thanksgiving, also known as “Blackout Wednesday.”

“Blackout Wednesday,” one of the largest drinking days of the year, kicks off the Holiday Season Impaired Driving Campaign, which runs through January 2, 2025. During this time, the southwest region of PennDOT and their safety partners will work together to deliver lifesaving messages to the public to encourage positive actions that can help reduce impaired driving in Pennsylvania.

The event was hosted at the Allegheny County Airport, with safety partners gathered in front of a STAT MedEvac helicopter, used to transport crash victims to life-saving treatment. The safety partners shared safety tips for celebrating the holidays responsibly and making good decisions that will save lives.

Drivers are reminded to recognize how drugs, even prescribed medications, along with alcohol, can impact their ability to drive safely. Someone is considered alcohol-impaired with a blood alcohol concentration (BAC) of .08 or higher. Additionally, drugs can mimic the same inebriation symptoms as someone with a .08 BAC, or sometimes worse.

According to PennDOT data, from the day before Thanksgiving 2023 to January 2, 2024 there were 998 crashes in Allegheny County, resulting in 11 fatalities. Of those crashes, 105 were impaired driver related, resulting in five fatalities.

Motorists were also urged to buckle up each time they enter a vehicle. As many Pennsylvanians will travel during the holiday season, they are reminded the Pennsylvania law requires drivers, front-seat passengers, and any occupant younger than 18 to buckle up when riding in a vehicle. Children under age 4 must be properly secured in an approved child safety seat. Children under age 2 must ride in a rear-facing car seat until they outgrow the maximum weight and height limits designated by the seat manufacturer. Booster seats are required for children ages 4 to 8.

Collectively the agencies are urging the public to plan ahead and be safe this holiday season, as safety is everyone’s responsibility.

The Allegheny County Safety Partners consist of the AAA East Central, Allegheny County Health Department, Allegheny County Police Department, Children’s Hospital Injury Prevention, Pennsylvania Department of Transportation, Pennsylvania DUI Association, Pennsylvania State Police, Pennsylvania Traffic Injury Prevention Project, and Port Authority of Allegheny County Police Department.

For more information, visit www.PennDOT.pa.gov/safety.

PennDOT’s media center offers social-media-sized graphics highlighting topics such as seat belts, impaired driving, and distracted driving for organizations, community groups, or others who share safety information with their stakeholders.

For regional updates, follow PennDOT on X and join the Greater Pittsburgh Area PennDOT Facebook group.

Freedom Crider Road Reopened

(File Photo)

Pittsburgh, PA – PennDOT District 11 is announcing realignment work requiring long-term detours on Freedom Crider Road has been completed in New Sewickley Township, Beaver County.

Freedom Crider Road (Route 2004) has reopened to traffic between Wolf Run Road and Baker Road. Completed work in this final phase of the Freedom Road Upgrade project includes the realignment of Freedom Crider Road, excavation work, box culvert installation, and the reconstruction of the intersection with Wolf Run Road.

Additional work finalized on this $21.75 million project located between Park Quarry Road and Route 989 includes culvert replacements, roadway reconstruction and widening, new shoulders, guide rail updates, drainage improvements, additional turn-lanes, a roundabout installation, and utility relocations. Slide remediation work and punch list items requiring short term lane restrictions will continue through late December.

Motorists can check conditions on major roadways by visiting www.511PA.com. 511PA, which is free and available 24 hours a day, provides traffic delay warnings, weather forecasts, traffic speed information and access to more than 1,000 traffic cameras. 511PA is also available through a smartphone application for iPhone and Android devices, by calling 5-1-1, or by following regional X alerts.

Subscribe to PennDOT news and traffic alerts in Allegheny, Beaver, Lawrence counties at www.penndot.pa.gov/District11.

Information about infrastructure in District 11, including completed work and significant projects, is available at www.penndot.pa.gov/D11Results. Find PennDOT’s planned and active construction projects at www.projects.penndot.gov.

Find PennDOT news on XFacebook, and Instagram.

PennDOT, along with the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission and the Pennsylvania State Police warn Pennsylvania drivers to buckle their seatbelt and stay sober behind the wheel during Operation Safe Holiday initiative

(File Photo of PennDOT logo)

Noah Haswell, Beaver County Radio News

(New Cumberland, PA) The administration of Governor Josh Shapiro along with the Pennsylvania State Police, PennDOT, and the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission met up on Tuesday to warn Pennsylvanians that they need to be safe driving as the holiday season approaches. Operation Safe Holiday is an initiative that began on November 11th to ensure that drivers are both wearing their seatbelts and being sober behind the wheel. One of the speakers for this event was PennDOT Secretary Mike Carroll, who went over statistics regarding those who passed away after they did not choose to wear their seatbelt, as well as asserting that one should never drive while impaired, and to either idenitfy a sober driver and designate them or to take transportation that is public or share a ride with someone else, just not behind the wheel while in the impaired state. Lieutenant Adam Reed, the Communications Office Director of the Pennsylvania State Police, talked about staying sober behind the wheel, because police are on the lookout for impaired drivers. Finally, Craig Shuey, the Chief Operating Officer of the PA Turnpike talked about how to be aware when you are driving on the road.

 

No progress on some Pennsylvania children being covered for health insurance

(File Photo of Clipboard with a Children’s Health Insurance Program)

(Reported by Danielle Smith of Keystone News Service)

(Harrisburg, PA) Tens of thousands of children in Pennsylvania are still missing out on essential health-care coverage, according to a new report. The “State of Children’s Health” report reveals Pennsylvania has the fifth-number of uninsured children in the nation. Becky Ludwick with Pennsylvania Partnerships for Children says factors like race, where you live and family income play big roles in whether kids have health insurance. And while the number of uninsured kids has stayed relatively steady, a stable uninsured rate doesn’t signal that there’s been progress. In Pennsylvania, younger children are more likely to be uninsured than school-aged children. Ludwick adds one possible solution is the Department of Human Services’ recent federal approval of continuous Medicaid coverage for kids up to age six. 

 

Several Beaver County businesses that will be opened and closed on Thanksgiving

(File Photo of Open Sign at Shop)

Noah Haswell, Beaver County Radio News

(Beaver County, PA) As Beaver County residents get ready for Thanksgiving, the operation of some stores will be open on Thanksgiving while others will not be open to celebrate the holiday. Some of the local Shop N’ Save stores will start their business at 7 a.m. and then close at 3 p.m. on Thanksgiving. New Brighton also will have a business open at seven o’clock in the morning as well, which is their FoodLand store. Some convenience stores in Hopewell will not be open on Thanksgiving, and they include: Beaver Supermarket, Kuhn’s Market, Aldi’s, Target, and Walmart. Across the state of Pennsylvania, some other companies that will sell their products over Thanksgiving are Dollar General, from 7 a.m. to 10 p.m., Dunkin Donuts, Starbucks, CVS, and Walgreens stores that are open for all twenty-four hours. However, post offices, pharmacies, Walgreens that are not open for all twenty-four hours and the Fine Wine and Good Spirits alcohol stores close during Thanksgiving. 

Aliquippa Police investigating a burglary in the area

(File Photo of Aliquippa Police Car)

(Reported by Beaver County Radio News Correspondent Sandy Giordano, Published on November 27th, 2024 at 8:39 A.M)

(Aliquippa, PA) A burglary was reported in the 300 block of Allegheny Avenue in West Aliquippa, according to a report from Aliquippa Police. Aliquippa Police CHief John Lane also issued this statement: “Anyone who witnesses any suspicious activity  is asked to call 911 or 724-775-0880 so officers may quickly receive the complaint and respond to the area of the suspicious activity. “More times than not we are receiving  reports of suspicious  activity after the fact, days or weeks after. We are also dealing  with people saying someone witnessed something , but won’t come forward, or give a statement and “doesn’t want to be  involved.” Without proper evidence, witness statements, etc. we are unable to make a proper arrest. We can speculate all we would like on who is committing a crime, but again, without evidence an arrest is unable to be made.”

The case is under investigation and anyone with information is to call the police at 724-775-0880.

Aliquippa Police Chief gives address following recent fires with upcoming actions imminent

(File Photo of Aliquippa Police Department)

(Reported by Beaver County Radio News Correspondent Sandy Giordano, Published on November 27th, 2024 at 8:09 A.M.)

(Aliquippa, PA) Aliquippa Police Chief John Lane announces significant actions due to the recent fires. According to Lane: “In light of the recent  increase in fire across Aliquippa, we want to assure the community  that significant actions are being taken  to enhance investigations and prevent future occurrences. The chief added, “We understand the anxiety these incidents have caused  within our community, and we are dedicated to ensure the safety of all residents. We will continue t o provide  updates as new information  comes available, and as we implement these crucial measures. I am asking  the resident for the last fire that claims that they saw something  to please come forward. Please provide the police department  with any information you may have, whether it is relevant or not. I have also ordered officers to perform extra patrols for the area ofWest Aliquippa, effective immediately. I am asking any resident and/or visitor who sees something suspicious to please report it to the police department  immediately, call 911, or the non-emergency number 724-775-0880.”

(Update reported by Giordano, added by Noah Haswell, Beaver County Radio News on November 29th, 2024 at 9:52 A.M.)

Lane also confirmed that at least half a dozen fires were reported to date.